Saturday 21 February 2015

Everett Rogers (1995), Diffusion of Innovations Theory, what did he posit?

Diffusion is the process by which an innovation is communicated through certain channels over time among the members of a social system.  The most striking feature of diffusion theory is that, for most members of a social system, the innovation-decision depends heavily on the innovation-decisions of the other members of the system. 
The innovation-decision is made through a cost-benefit analysis where the major obstacle is uncertainty.  People will adopt an innovation if they believe that it will, all things considered, enhance their utility.  Each individual’s innovation-decision is largely framed by personal characteristics, and this diversity is what makes diffusion possible.  For a successful innovation, the adopter distributions follow a bell-shaped curve, the derivative of the S-shaped diffusion curve, over time and approach normality.
Diffusion scholars divide this bell-shaped curve to characterize five categories of system member innovativeness, where innovativeness is defined as the degree to which an individual is relatively earlier in adopting new ideas than other members of a system.  These groups are: 1) innovators, 2) early adopters, 3) early majority, 4) late majority, and 5) laggards.  The personal characteristics and interaction of these groups illuminates the aforementioned domino effect. 
Successful efforts to diffuse an innovation depend on characteristics of the situation.  To eliminate a deficit of awareness of an innovation, mass media channels are most appropriate.  To change prevailing attitudes about an innovation, it is best to persuade opinion leaders.  Further, what we find is those in homophiles’ social systems are likely to frustrate change agents with their resistance to innovation.  It is only for heterophilous social systems that pushing an innovation to the elusive tipping point is a relatively easy thing to do.

In conclusion, researched analysis has shown that it is an undeniable phenomenon that once understood provides simple and valuable prescriptions for efforts in encouraging diffusion.  There seem to be many innovations that are valuable for the masses, yet to date have resisted diffusion.  For example, we still use the QWERTY keyboard despite the development of another keyboard that allows much faster typing for the average user.